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U.S. Private Payrolls in June Post First Decline in Over Two Years

U.S. private payrolls in June experienced a surprising decline, signaling concerns about hiring momentum across the country. According to the latest ADP National Employment Report, private sector jobs dropped by 33,000 last month.

This marks the first decrease since March 2023. It also contrasts sharply with May’s revised increase of 29,000 jobs. Earlier projections had forecast a gain of 95,000 jobs in June. That expectation followed a previously reported May gain of 37,000.

U.S. private payrolls in June showed job losses in key sectors. Professional services, education and health services, and financial activities all cut positions. However, leisure and hospitality, construction, and manufacturing posted moderate gains. These sectors continue to drive some resilience in the job market.

The ADP report, developed with Stanford’s Digital Economy Lab, came just before the official employment data. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish its June employment report on Thursday. The early release is due to the Independence Day holiday on Friday.

While many investors watch both reports closely, economists remind readers that ADP and BLS data often differ. Analysts emphasize the ADP report reflects general trends rather than specific figures.

Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics, commented on the situation. He noted that the ADP report’s trend has weakened steadily since December. He added, “Today’s drop underscores the continuing decline in private sector momentum.”

Meanwhile, U.S. financial markets reacted modestly. Stocks opened mixed, and the dollar strengthened against other major currencies. Additionally, yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds edged higher.

Despite the disappointing numbers, layoffs remain relatively low. Many economists interpret this as a sign of continued labor market stability. Nonetheless, hiring is slowing down across various industries.

U.S. private payrolls in June could influence upcoming Federal Reserve decisions. Slower job growth may increase pressure for interest rate cuts in the coming months.

As labor reports continue to unfold, investors and policymakers will stay alert to signs of deeper change. U.S. private payrolls in June offer a glimpse into broader economic headwinds.

For more updates, visit DC Brief.

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