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Tariff Shock Drags U.S. Manufacturing Into New Slowdown

The U.S. manufacturing sector felt a price-driven slowdown in November as higher costs reduced demand and weakened factory momentum. The price-driven slowdown highlighted how tariffs and rising prices reshaped purchasing behavior across the country. Many analysts warned that the price-driven slowdown could weigh on overall growth heading into early 2026.

Manufacturers saw fewer new orders as companies and households cut spending. Tariffs raised import costs, and firms struggled to absorb these increases. Many businesses passed the costs to consumers, yet shoppers reacted with hesitation and delayed large purchases.

Furthermore, factory inventories grew at a historic pace. Companies held more finished goods as orders cooled and retail partners trimmed restocking plans. Executives said the buildup signaled risk for production schedules in the next quarter.

Consumers also faced financial strain. Surveys showed widespread frustration with persistent inflation and weakening income growth. Many families reduced spending on appliances, vehicles, and electronics. Even wealthier households grew cautious as market turbulence limited their confidence.

Economists described a split environment where some Americans tightened budgets while others briefly maintained spending. Recent market declines, however, reduced high-income optimism and added pressure to sensitive industries.

The main manufacturing index slipped to 51.9 from 52.5. The reading still showed growth, although the pace improved very little. New orders fell sharply, and inventory levels reached record highs. Analysts said the imbalance created more evidence of a price-driven slowdown across the sector.

Meanwhile, service industries maintained stronger momentum. Service firms recorded higher orders and reported more confidence for 2026. Many executives expect interest rate cuts, improving financial markets, and calmer political conditions to support future activity.

Consumer sentiment improved modestly, yet overall confidence remained historically low. People reported poor conditions for large purchases, though they felt slightly more positive about future finances. Many households expect inflation to remain elevated through next year.

Input costs also climbed again. Companies paid more for materials, shipping, and labor. They raised prices to maintain margins, although customers continued resisting these increases. Executives warned that cost pressure could limit hiring if demand weakens further.

The labor market stayed steady as employers avoided major staffing cuts. Hiring slowed slightly, yet many companies kept workers to protect capacity for future demand. Leaders said a clear recovery depends on healthier consumer spending and easing inflation.

Economists believe the next quarter will determine whether manufacturing stabilizes or faces more pressure. Many said balanced growth requires stronger orders, lighter cost burdens, and renewed confidence across all income groups.

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